• Investing
  • Stock
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Portfolio Performance Today
Stock

TLT ETF analysis as outflows slow amid a Trump tariff silver lining

by September 4, 2025
by September 4, 2025

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has remained in a tight range this week as investors assess the impact of tariffs on the economy and the upcoming actions of the Federal Reserve. TLT was trading at $86.57, inside the range it has been in the past few weeks and 5.5% above the year-to-date low.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF outflows are slowing

The TLT ETF has had over $2.8 billion worth of outflows this year a concerns about Donald Trump’s tariffs have remained. While it has shed assets in the past three consecutive weeks, the trend is improving. 

Data shows that it shed $77 million in assets last week, better than the previous week’s outflows of $193 million and $379 million a week earlier. 

TLT ETF inflows and outflows

A likely reason for this is that investors are changing their views about Donald Trump’s tariffs. While most of them expect the tariffs to the economy in the near term, there is hope that the tariff revenue will help to improve the US fiscal situation.

In a recent report, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that these tariffs will help to reduce the US budget deficit by about $4 trillion in the next ten years, and help to offset the impact of Trump’s tax cuts. The CBO estimated that Trump’s tax cuts will boost the country’s borrow by $4.1 trillion in this period.

Still, it is unclear whether these tariffs will exist in the long term as two US courts have found them illegal as they did not involve Congress. Trump hopes that the Supreme Court will solidify the tariffs. In a recent statement, an analyst at Macuarie said:

“If the bulk of Trump’s tariff programme is nullified by the courts some analysts will cheer, inflation will subside, growth may improve, and the Fed may be more inclined to ease monetary policy. But if the focus is on debt and deficits at that time, the bond market may riot.”

The TLT ETF has reacted to the recent performance of the bond market, which is a reflection on the state of tariffs on beefing the finances. The 30-year yield moved from 5.152% in March to the current 4.893%. 

The next important catalyst for the TLT ETF is the upcoming US nonfarm payroll (NFP), which will impact the next action of the Federal Reserve. Analysts expect the Fed to cut interest rates, which may impact shorter and longer-term bond yields.

TLT ETF stock price technical analysis

 TLT stock chart | Source: TradingView

The weekly chart shows that the TLT ETF has remained in a tight range in the past few months. It was trading at $86.57, down 12% from the highest point last year.

The stock has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern and has moved slightly below the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. The two lines of the triangle are nearing their confluence level.

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the TLT ETF remains in this range for a while. The stock will then have a bearish breakdown, possibly to the psychological point at $80. 

The post TLT ETF analysis as outflows slow amid a Trump tariff silver lining appeared first on Invezz

0 comment
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

previous post
Europe markets open: Stoxx 600 flat, FTSE -0.2% as Trump takes tariff fight to SC
next post
Nidec shares plunge 22% after suspected accounting scandal at China unit

Related Posts

Cyberattack halts Asahi production, disrupts Japan’s beer supply

October 3, 2025

Europe markets open: Stoxx 600 rises 0.4%, extending...

October 3, 2025

Bitcoin ETFs see over $600M in inflows as...

October 3, 2025

Stockholm leads Europe in IPO activity with $6.8...

October 3, 2025

Indonesia suspends TikTok licence after data refusal during...

October 3, 2025

Why the Thai baht’s climb against US dollar...

October 3, 2025

OpenAI valuation hits $500 billion as employees sell...

October 2, 2025

Here’s why JPMorgan, Morningstar are bullish on Alibaba...

October 2, 2025

Europe markets open: Stoxx 600 jumps 0.6%, led...

October 2, 2025

Will the Tesco share price hit 500p as...

October 2, 2025

Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.

By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

Recent Posts

  • What I Saw in Milei’s Argentina

    October 3, 2025
  • Tariffs Rest on Distrust of Citizens

    October 3, 2025
  • Cyberattack halts Asahi production, disrupts Japan’s beer supply

    October 3, 2025
  • Europe markets open: Stoxx 600 rises 0.4%, extending its record-setting rally

    October 3, 2025
  • Bitcoin ETFs see over $600M in inflows as BTC price nears $120K

    October 3, 2025
  • Stockholm leads Europe in IPO activity with $6.8 billion raised

    October 3, 2025

Editors’ Picks

  • 1

    Meta executives eligible for 200% salary bonus under new pay structure

    February 21, 2025
  • 2

    Walmart earnings preview: What to expect before Thursday’s opening bell

    February 20, 2025
  • 3

    New FBI leader Kash Patel tapped to run ATF as acting director

    February 23, 2025
  • 4

    Cramer reveals a sub-sector of technology that can withstand Trump tariffs

    March 1, 2025
  • 5

    Anthropic’s newly released Claude 3.7 Sonnet can ‘think’ as long as the user wants before giving an answer

    February 25, 2025
  • 6

    Nvidia’s investment in SoundHound wasn’t all that significant after all

    March 1, 2025
  • 7

    Pop Mart reports 188% profit surge, plans aggressive global expansion

    March 26, 2025

Categories

  • Economy (2,770)
  • Editor's Pick (279)
  • Investing (185)
  • Stock (1,885)
  • About us
  • Contact us
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions

Copyright © 2025 Portfolioperformancetoday.com All Rights Reserved.

Portfolio Performance Today
  • Investing
  • Stock
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Portfolio Performance Today
  • Investing
  • Stock
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Copyright © 2025 Portfolioperformancetoday.com All Rights Reserved.

Read alsox

Inside Shell’s new strategy to boost investor...

March 25, 2025

Circle stock price forecast: Is the USDC...

June 15, 2025

China proposes global AI body, pushes for...

July 26, 2025